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Welcome
Our mission
The author of this site is committed to developing a culture of independent risk thinkers that will have the capability to make smart investment decisions for their own financial objectives.
There has been an ominous absence of using probabilistic thinking, a core required skill for analyzing risk. Risk thinking should be as routine as reading and writing. Unfortunately this crucial skill has not been a central focus making us dependent on alternative means or substitutes leaving us vulnerable, insecure and non competitive.
The trading practice deployed and promoted by the author encompasses essential tools, techniques and methodologies to build the confidence for making prudent investment decisions. This website serves as the utility to provide education and hands on experience.
Why Trade?
The trading forum is a unique arena where the risk management skill sets are developed. The author believes that consistent profit generation is more a testament to your successful decision making capabilities than of your financial acumen.
The battle between mechanics and the human psyche.
The degree to your success is a function of how you can separate the factors that control the intuitive human psyche from the mechanical and probabilistic. Opportunities lie where human "emotional" actions are manifested in the physical world as distortions and imbalances but corrected or normalized when the two minds are in balance.
The study of statistical variability in conjunction with probabilistic measures is a particular skillset that must be mastered to ensure success in your financial endeavors.
How?
The site offers structured educational classes and programs, literature, private coaching and practice. For more information, contact us.
About Me
The author of this site is a professional trader whose major source of income is derived from trading very complex investment instruments in multiple financial markets (i.e., stocks, options, futures and debt securities). The author deploys specific strategies depending on the objectives and risk profile of the account owner(s). The author develops and utilizes proprietary indicators derived from independent research and studies of market data, tested and validated through a rigorous statistical process and applied as key metrics to support investment decision making programs. The author subscribes to the philosophy that price movements of most financial instruments are primarily a function of investor psyche and behavior over conventional fundamental analyses and that imbalances dominate market forces, creating distortions and affording unique opportunities for profit. The author has found success in concentrating on the strategy and a mechanical discipline of managing complex positions in meeting risk reward targets and profit objectives.
A long history of investment experiences
The author's passion to the investment markets started in the early 1980's with stocks, bonds and futures. He later tackled the options world and experienced the devastation of "Black Monday" which compelled him to reflect, pursue and incorporate risk analysis and probability theory in investment decisions. Coupled with market psychology, the author exercises, promotes and teaches risk management skills to students of all ages. He believes that the trading forum is the best learning platform where the risk management skills are developed, measured, tested and most effectively demonstrated. The author believes that consistent profit generation is a testament to your successful decision making capabilities rather than your financial acumen.
Tops down measure systems analysis (MSA)
Devoted to the pursuit and development of reliable measurement systems applications, the founder applies statistical variability and probability measures to develop appropriate metrics for customize models and applications.
The creation of measures to derive the metrics are often flawed with assumptions which makes them ineffective. Very often, we accept certain metrics to applications that are linked and designed to the specific outcome or response. It's akin to taking a square peg and force fitting it to a round hole.
The author has experience in developing industrial measurements of applying valid metrics to applications.
The founder publishes literature and provides education, training and mentoring to students pursuing careers in the management sciences.